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#1 Jan-20-14 9:54AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Predictions must be posted by 11 pm today!  IAD reporting will be the official reporting station.

I say 7.5" here in Ashburn and 7.0 at IAD, but reserve to change before 11 pm.


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#2 Jan-20-14 10:17AM

BillyBigMouth
Northern Snakehead
From: Richmond, VA
Registered: Aug-15-11
Posts: 140

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

4.5".  Ever since I moved here from Michigan, the snowfall has tended to be under the predicted amount smile  Curly, hoping you are right, though!

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#3 Jan-20-14 10:32AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

The underground forecasters are all over the place. The network guys were clueless to this. But a couple of the models are now looking the same....

We should know better by 11 pm when all of it lines up....


Time to go fishin' again!

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#4 Jan-20-14 10:36AM

Osprey
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Forestville, MD
Registered: Nov-16-07
Posts: 1242
Website

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

I'll go with whatever Topper predicts from the weather terrace on Tuesday's evening news. He might have a clue by then.


20' Key West..16' C-Hawk...Hobie Pro Angler...Hobie Outback

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#5 Jan-20-14 10:56AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

The following graphic is with a 10:1 ratio of snow:water.  Most folks are predicting around 15:1 which would be around 7.5" for us.


http://i207.photobucket.com/albums/bb119/cokeempire/2014%20Pics/1-21storm-1_zps30aa91ed.png


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#6 Jan-20-14 10:58AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Osprey wrote:

I'll go with whatever Topper predicts from the weather terrace on Tuesday's evening news. He might have a clue by then.

lol   lol


Time to go fishin' again!

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#7 Jan-20-14 11:35AM

Osprey
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Forestville, MD
Registered: Nov-16-07
Posts: 1242
Website

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Lily on TF is saying 6 - 12 locally with 18 possible to the east of us. If a TV person said that we'd have partly cloudy, but Lily is good.


20' Key West..16' C-Hawk...Hobie Pro Angler...Hobie Outback

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#8 Jan-20-14 11:39AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

NOAA says this:

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG AN ARCTIC FRONT TO OUR SOUTH TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING...BRINGING ACCUMULATING SNOW TO THE OUTLOOK AREA. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHLANDS.

BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND AN ARCTIC FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WIND CHILLS WELL BELOW ZERO ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS. ELSEWHERE...WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO ARE LIKELY.

Even if they only 20% right, there is NOTHING that I like about this forecast. Words like these make me sick; arctic, chills, zero, snow, bitterly.....oh, and my heating system is only running at 1/2 speed.


Time to go fishin' again!

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#9 Jan-20-14 11:41AM

Osprey
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Forestville, MD
Registered: Nov-16-07
Posts: 1242
Website

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

But today is beautiful


20' Key West..16' C-Hawk...Hobie Pro Angler...Hobie Outback

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#10 Jan-20-14 1:16PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Yes it is...we could have fished but I had family stuff. I just completed an nice long walk....windy but very nice out. Savor it because we will fell like Polar Bears tomorrow.


Time to go fishin' again!

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#11 Jan-20-14 2:54PM

captmikestarrett
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Potomac River
Registered: May-06-08
Posts: 2183
Website

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

I predict that snow will fall and salt drifts will need to be avoided in the daily commute. It will be a non event as work will not be delayed or cancelled.

Beautiful down town Accokeek will see about 1.5 inches on the grass and the roads will be barren. But just in case I will wear my PJ's inside out.

Capt Mike


Light Tackle Fishing Guide on the Potomac

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#12 Jan-20-14 3:34PM

Redfish12
Northern Snakehead
From: Severna Park, MD
Registered: Jun-25-10
Posts: 509
Website

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

3"

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#13 Jan-20-14 3:34PM

bigjeffie
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Feb-24-09
Posts: 1456

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

No snow.

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#14 Jan-20-14 4:27PM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Predictions so far...before the 11 pm deadline:

BigJeff = 0
Redfish12 = 3"
BillyBigmouth = 4.5"
Curly = 7.5"

Osprey = "Topper's post game show"


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#15 Jan-20-14 4:58PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Capt. Mike - I think you are going to get hammered....by snow. 8"+ your way.

Curly- IAD always under reports. Those jets blow the snow away from the measuring device.


Time to go fishin' again!

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#16 Jan-20-14 6:58PM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

This is going to be interesting. We will have a high near 25 which means a "dry" snow and then we will have a northeast wind of 10-20 mph. That means blowing and drifting snow.....will be hard to calculate the 4-8" that is expected. I will bite on the 8".


Time to go fishin' again!

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#17 Jan-20-14 7:55PM

firemunkee
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Ashburn, VA
Registered: May-23-13
Posts: 1766

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

I haven't checked anything but I will vote 6" smile


Together we'll fight the long defeat.

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#18 Jan-21-14 3:10AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Pacemaker wrote:

Curly- IAD always under reports. Those jets blow the snow away from the measuring device.

lol lol The IAD weather station is on Rt 606 in the middle of that big field......No jet interference there big_smile.

Woke up to a day off today............"Federal Gov't Closed" due to impending winter storm. big_smile

Started dropping flakes here at 8:30.............

Last edited by Curly (Jan-21-14 5:40AM)


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#19 Jan-21-14 5:40AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Curly wrote:

Woke up to a day off today............"Federal Gov't Closed" due to impending winter storm. big_smile

Wow.....day off....you guys can't work from home? Incredible that they already made this decision.


Time to go fishin' again!

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#20 Jan-21-14 5:42AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Pacemaker wrote:

Wow.....day off....you guys can't work from home? Incredible that they already made this decision.

In my line of work...........home office is not an option............


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#21 Jan-21-14 6:03AM

backtofuturetoyota
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Stafford
Registered: Jan-12-12
Posts: 873

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

am I too late to predict?

I predict the federal gov't will be closed..(cause they're a bunch of pansies)..oh it already happened?  lol

I say 6 only because I've been let down so often in the past few years.  After snowmagedon, everything has been a disapointment.

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#22 Jan-21-14 6:35AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Updated Predictions:

BigJeff = 0
Redfish12 = 3"
BillyBigmouth = 4.5"
Firemunkee = 6"
Backtofuturetoyota = 6"
Curly = 7.5"
Pacemaker = 8"
Osprey = "Topper's post game show"

Last edited by Curly (Jan-21-14 6:54AM)


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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#23 Jan-21-14 6:51AM

Ernie
Administrator
From: Ashburn VA
Registered: Feb-03-06
Posts: 15639

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Curly wrote:

Updated Predictions:
Pacemaker = no call

Check 9:58pm last night "I will bite on the 8""


Time to go fishin' again!

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#24 Jan-21-14 6:53AM

backtofuturetoyota
Patagonian Toothfish
From: Stafford
Registered: Jan-12-12
Posts: 873

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Going big Ernie!  My fingers are crossed that you win!

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#25 Jan-21-14 6:54AM

Curly
Patagonian Toothfish
Registered: Mar-15-10
Posts: 5420

Re: Snowfall Accumulation Predictions for Tuesday?

Pacemaker wrote:

Curly wrote:

Updated Predictions:
Pacemaker = no call

Check 9:58pm last night "I will bite on the 8""

Missed that on the end........now updated correctly big_smile


Hell or High Water...........I'm Fishin!!   big_smile

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